On 23 April, the latest ICC Global Survey was simultaneously released in Beijing
(the intended venue for the Spring 2010 ICC Banking Commission meeting) and
Paris. The Survey Report received widespread coverage in the media including the
Financial Times, Reuters and the Wall Street Journal.
The 2010 Survey is the result of cooperation between ICC and a range of
international organizations including the World Trade Organization (WTO), The
World Bank, the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications
(SWIFT), the Berne Union and the leading Development Banks (EBRD, IFC, ADB,
IADB).
The Survey received feedback from 161 banks located in 75 countries - a 32%
increase in the response rate on last year's Survey.
To view the full Report from the ICC Survey, entitled 'Rethinking Trade Finance
2010', please click here.
The Survey questions targeted trends occurring in trade finance operations of
banks in 2009 and specifically addressed the following topics:
- Breakdown of traditional trade finance products handled within banks
- Trends in volumes of traditional trade products
- Trends in demand and pricing for bank undertakings and L/C confirmations
- Operational impact of the credit crisis
- Trade credit line availability
- Loss experience for rating traditional trade products versus general banking
facilities
As noted in the foreword by ICC Chairman Victor K. Fung, the 2010 survey "should
be useful both to business and policymakers as they consider ways to enhance
support for international trade and to restore vigorous economic growth."
A few points of interest to note as you read the Survey…
Facility lines still seem to be under pressure with 42% of respondents
indicating a decrease - from 2008 levels - for FI credit lines and a 40%
decrease for corporate credit lines. This is despite 73% of respondents
indicating an increase in requests for confirmation of letters of credit.
Refusals and injunctions are still on the increase. Around 34% of respondents
indicated an increase in the number of refusals in 2009, with 71% indicating an
increase the dubious/spurious discrepancy category. 23% of respondents (up from
12% in 2008) indicated seeing an increase in the number of court injunctions
that have been issued.
Of the 161 banks that responded to the Survey, 89% indicated that their losses
in respect of traditional trade finance products were slightly, moderately or
significantly less than that for general banking facilities.
SWIFT provided some extremely useful trade traffic data for 2009. For example,
between 2008 and 2009 there were some 4 million less trade messages sent (MT4
and MT7 messages) - 42m sent in 2009.
Although, in 2009, the MT700 represented 15% of the total MT7 messages sent, the
MT734 (refusal message) accounted for only 3.98%. This may demonstrate that a
number of banks are still using the MT799 for their refusals rather than the
structured MT734. For 2009, the SWIFT data shows that the MT4 messages are
fairly flat when reviewed for the whole year, whereas the monthly statistics for
MT7 messages show an increase from a low of around 3m messages in February 2009
to a high of 3.8m in December.
The Survey also includes extracts from the ICC Banking Commission response to
the Basel Committee Consultative Document on "Strengthening the Resilience of
the Banking System: "Without commenting on the appropriateness of a new
mechanism to limit bank leverage, we have been concerned to note, however, that
the proposals group trade products with a number of other instruments which
exhibit significantly different characteristics – effectively categorising some
trade products (such as letters of credit) as "risky" asset classes." and "It is
our contention that this approach is unjustified; and, moreover, is liable to
lead to an overall reduction in the supply of trade finance."
The proposals being considered to reform the Basel II framework would increase
the Credit Conversion Factor (CCF) for all off-balance sheet exposures,
including trade products, to 100% when calculating a leverage ratio constraint.
This compares with just 20% for trade-related contingencies and 50% for
transaction related contingencies under the current Basel II framework.
"We consider that this blanket approach to "off-balance sheet" items under the
proposed leverage ratio, is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of both the
operational context and the mechanics of trade financing,” the Survey went on to
comment.
The Survey also contains expert commentaries from the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), International Finance Corporation (IFC),
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and Berne
Union.
To view the full report 'Rethinking Trade Finance in 2010', please click here
Another recent paper that maybe be of interest to you is the ICC response to the
Basel Committee Consultative Document on "Strengthening the Resilience of the
Banking System". To view this document, please click here
And finally, a free webinar that I conducted for Coastline Solutions as part of the BAFT-IFSA learning series, entitled Trade Update 2010, is available to you
at the following address: http://www.ifsalearning.org/events.htm
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